FLZ168-172-173-081100- /O.EXT.KMFL.CF.S.0037.000000T0000Z-091110T1200Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 521 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009 SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES TODAY. FOR THIS REASON...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE EVEN FURTHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER FROM NEAR OR INSIDE THE SAND BAR INTO DEEPER WATER. DUE TO THE LIFE THREATENING DANGERS THAT THESE STRONG CURRENTS OF WATER POSE...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. IF YOU DO GO INTO THE WATER...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. IF CAUGHT IN THE SEAWARD PULL OF A RIP CURRENT DO NOT ATTEMPT TO MOVE DIRECTLY TOWARD SHORE. INSTEAD...MOVE SIDEWAYS ACROSS THE RIP CURRENT UNTIL THE PULL EASES. AN ALTERNATE METHOD OF ESCAPE IS TO LET THE RIP CURRENT PULL YOU SEAWARD 50 TO 100 YARDS...WHERE THE FORCE WEAKENS...AND THEN SWIM TOWARD THE BEACH AT AN ANGLE AWAY FROM THE CURRENT. && $$
Miami-Dade County
Coastal Flood Statement -- Miami-Dade County
FLZ168-172-173-081100- /O.EXT.KMFL.CF.S.0037.000000T0000Z-091110T1200Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 521 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009 SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES TODAY. FOR THIS REASON...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE EVEN FURTHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER FROM NEAR OR INSIDE THE SAND BAR INTO DEEPER WATER. DUE TO THE LIFE THREATENING DANGERS THAT THESE STRONG CURRENTS OF WATER POSE...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. IF YOU DO GO INTO THE WATER...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. IF CAUGHT IN THE SEAWARD PULL OF A RIP CURRENT DO NOT ATTEMPT TO MOVE DIRECTLY TOWARD SHORE. INSTEAD...MOVE SIDEWAYS ACROSS THE RIP CURRENT UNTIL THE PULL EASES. AN ALTERNATE METHOD OF ESCAPE IS TO LET THE RIP CURRENT PULL YOU SEAWARD 50 TO 100 YARDS...WHERE THE FORCE WEAKENS...AND THEN SWIM TOWARD THE BEACH AT AN ANGLE AWAY FROM THE CURRENT. && $$
FLZ168-172-173-081100- /O.EXT.KMFL.CF.S.0037.000000T0000Z-091110T1200Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 521 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009 SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES TODAY. FOR THIS REASON...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE EVEN FURTHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER FROM NEAR OR INSIDE THE SAND BAR INTO DEEPER WATER. DUE TO THE LIFE THREATENING DANGERS THAT THESE STRONG CURRENTS OF WATER POSE...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. IF YOU DO GO INTO THE WATER...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. IF CAUGHT IN THE SEAWARD PULL OF A RIP CURRENT DO NOT ATTEMPT TO MOVE DIRECTLY TOWARD SHORE. INSTEAD...MOVE SIDEWAYS ACROSS THE RIP CURRENT UNTIL THE PULL EASES. AN ALTERNATE METHOD OF ESCAPE IS TO LET THE RIP CURRENT PULL YOU SEAWARD 50 TO 100 YARDS...WHERE THE FORCE WEAKENS...AND THEN SWIM TOWARD THE BEACH AT AN ANGLE AWAY FROM THE CURRENT. && $$
Palm Beach County
Coastal Flood Statement -- Palm Beach County
FLZ168-172-173-081100- /O.EXT.KMFL.CF.S.0037.000000T0000Z-091110T1200Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 521 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009 SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES TODAY. FOR THIS REASON...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE EVEN FURTHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER FROM NEAR OR INSIDE THE SAND BAR INTO DEEPER WATER. DUE TO THE LIFE THREATENING DANGERS THAT THESE STRONG CURRENTS OF WATER POSE...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. IF YOU DO GO INTO THE WATER...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. IF CAUGHT IN THE SEAWARD PULL OF A RIP CURRENT DO NOT ATTEMPT TO MOVE DIRECTLY TOWARD SHORE. INSTEAD...MOVE SIDEWAYS ACROSS THE RIP CURRENT UNTIL THE PULL EASES. AN ALTERNATE METHOD OF ESCAPE IS TO LET THE RIP CURRENT PULL YOU SEAWARD 50 TO 100 YARDS...WHERE THE FORCE WEAKENS...AND THEN SWIM TOWARD THE BEACH AT AN ANGLE AWAY FROM THE CURRENT. && $$
Miami-Dade County
Coastal Flood Statement -- Miami-Dade County
FLZ168-172-173-081100- /O.EXT.KMFL.CF.S.0037.000000T0000Z-091110T1200Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 521 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009 SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES TODAY. FOR THIS REASON...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE EVEN FURTHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER FROM NEAR OR INSIDE THE SAND BAR INTO DEEPER WATER. DUE TO THE LIFE THREATENING DANGERS THAT THESE STRONG CURRENTS OF WATER POSE...SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED. IF YOU DO GO INTO THE WATER...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. IF CAUGHT IN THE SEAWARD PULL OF A RIP CURRENT DO NOT ATTEMPT TO MOVE DIRECTLY TOWARD SHORE. INSTEAD...MOVE SIDEWAYS ACROSS THE RIP CURRENT UNTIL THE PULL EASES. AN ALTERNATE METHOD OF ESCAPE IS TO LET THE RIP CURRENT PULL YOU SEAWARD 50 TO 100 YARDS...WHERE THE FORCE WEAKENS...AND THEN SWIM TOWARD THE BEACH AT AN ANGLE AWAY FROM THE CURRENT. && $$
AXNT20 KNHC 071709 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL STORM IDA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.9N 84.1W AT 07/1500 UTC OR ABOUT 255 MILES...410 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 270 MILES...430 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MOVING N AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/ WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 82W-86W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 15N-22N BETWEEN 79W-86W. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 38W S OF 15N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE REMAINS WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 35W-38W. TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WEAK LOW LEVEL CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED. ...ITCZ... THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 7N10W 6N20W 7N40W 9N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 12W-17W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 24W-27W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A 1010 MB LOW IS OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 20N94W. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER NORTH CAROLINA NEAR 36N76W. NE-E SURFACE FLOW DOMINATES THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO WITH NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS OF 25-30 KT OVER THE SW GULF S OF 23N W OF 94W. ELSEWHERE...THE E GULF HAS 20-25 KT WINDS WHILE THE NW GULF HAS ONLY 10 KT WINDS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE S GULF S OF 28N W OF 85W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE N GULF N OF 28N AND OVER N FLORIDA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21N95W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE NE OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SHOWERS OVER THE S GULF OF MEXICO. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE E GULF E OF 90W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF S OF 29N. EXPECT..SHOWERS AND CONVECTION TO REMAIN OVER THE S GULF AND YUCATAN PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CARIBBEAN SEA... IDA IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND STRENGTHENING. SEE ABOVE. TRADEWINDS ARE BASICALLY 10-15 KT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 77W-80W. ELSEWHERE... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE N COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 68W-72W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN NEAR 13N75W. ANTICYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN WITH ADDITIONAL OUTFLOW FROM IDA. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 75W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED OVER THE E CARIBBEAN. EXPECT ...IDA TO TRACK TOWARDS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT CONTINUED UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 32N52W TO 24N63W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM E OF THE FRONT. A LARGE 1034 MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR THE AZORES AT 40N23W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N BETWEEN 60W-80W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS N OF 20N BETWEEN 50W-60W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AT 23N42W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE CENTER IS PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 20N-28N BETWEEN 38W-43W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 31N28W. OVER THE TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA NEAR 10N18W.
forecast by FORMOSA
updated at 105 PM EST SAT NOV 07 2009
AXPZ20 KNHC 071530 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT NOV 07 2009 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...ITCZ... THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS ALONG THE LINE...10N84W TO 06N100W TO 09N115W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE AREA FROM 05N TO 08N FROM 79W TO 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ AXIS FROM 94W TO 102W. ...DISCUSSION... STRONG DEEP LAYER SHORTWAVE ALMOST A CUT OFF LOW IS OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST AND WILL CROSS INTO TEXAS SUNDAY AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. MULTI LEVEL BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUDS ARE OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO NORTH OF 28N FROM 105W TO 113.5W. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLOUD AREA. A MOSTLY UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN AXIS FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 20N TO 23N135W THEN SOUTH TO 12N140W. THE WESTERN PART OF THIS FEATURE IS PART OF A LARGE UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOSTLY WEST OF THE AREA. NORTH AND WEST OF THIS TROUGH AXIS TO 30N THE ATMOSPHERE IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS SOUTH OF 30N. NORTH OF 30N SOME UPPER MOISTURE IS PRESENT BUT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS ARE CLOUD FREE. THROUGHOUT MOST OF THIS AREA NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS THE LOWER LEVELS ARE COVERED BY BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS. WITHIN 300 NM SOUTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS A PLUME OF UPPER MOISTURE IS BEING ADVECTED EASTWARD BUT THE ATMOSPHERE IS MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS. A SHARP MOSTLY UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC CONTINUING TO THE ITCZ NEAR 98W. OUTSIDE THE ITCZ THE AREA OVER THE OCEAN IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS. OVER MEXICO MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS ARE PRESENT WITH SOME CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN GUATEMALA. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW THAT HAS BEEN OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTH AND THE STRONG SOUTHERLY DRY FLOW OVER THE LOW SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW. LOW NEAR 13N117W WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1010 MB IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST. CONVECTION HAS BEEN OCCASIONALLY DEVELOPING WITHIN ABOUT 120 NM OF THE CENTER BUT HAS NOT PERSISTED. THE COMPUTER MODELS WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT SLOWLY MOVES WEST. REMAINDER OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MODERATE SURFACE RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 113W. ELSEWHERE BESIDES THE TWO LOWS MENTIONED ABOVE A BROAD TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT THE SURFACE. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION TO LESS THAN GALE FORCE AND ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KT BY LATE TONIGHT.
ABNT20 KNHC 071749 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IDA...LOCATED ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
forecast by FORECASTER BLAKE
updated at 100 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009
ABPZ20 KNHC 071736 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR BORDER. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
forecast by FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BLAKE
updated at 1000 AM PST SAT NOV 7 2009
ACPN50 PHFO 071400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
forecast by FOSTER
updated at 400 AM HST SAT NOV 7 2009
ATLANTIC PUBLIC/MARINE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MESSAGES ISSUED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS WTNT31 KNHC 071752 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND IDA STRONGER... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON SUNDAY. IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT BUT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IDA ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...165 KM MAINLY NORTH FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ...SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...18.5N 84.1W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM EST.
forecast by FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI/BLAKE
updated at 100 PM EST SAT NOV 07 2009
WTNT21 KNHC 071452 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 1500 UTC SAT NOV 07 2009 AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND. AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 84.1W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 30SE 15SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 84.1W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 84.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.9N 84.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 45SE 15SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.3N 85.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 20SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 30SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 86.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 20SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 30SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.6N 88.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...175NE 90SE 45SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.5N 88.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...175NE 90SE 45SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 29.0N 86.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 28.0N 85.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 84.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
forecast by FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI/BLAKE
FKNT21 KNHC 071452 TCANT1 TROPICAL STORM IDA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 1500 UTC SAT NOV 07 2009 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20091107/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: IDA NR: 013 PSN: N1754 W08406 MOV: N 08KT C: 0997HPA MAX WIND: 050KT FCST PSN + 06 HR: 072100 N1834 W08426 FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 055KT FCST PSN + 12 HR: 080300 N1915 W08449 FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 055KT FCST PSN + 18 HR: 080900 N1956 W08516 FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 060KT FCST PSN + 24 HR: 081500 N2046 W08549 FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 060KT RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: 20091107/2100Z
